Category Archives: tips

betting methods, sportsbook, tips

Dutching and Soccer Matches

Dutching is a betting method whereby one bets on more than one outcome of a sporting event. Bets are placed on different outcomes and in different amounts in order to ensure a certain profit regardless of which outcome occurs.

Most often applied to horse or dog races, dutching can be applied to soccer matches. You can use it when you think there will not be a tie (betting A and B), or when you think that one team will certainly not lose (in which case you bet that team and the tie).

Here is how I would use dutching to determine if betting on both A and B is a good bet.

  1. Before looking at the odds, estimate the probability that the match will end in a draw; you can use someone else’s expert analysis from the papers or on the web, recent historical stats, the stats of key individual players involved in the match (especially the goal keeper), and other factors that you think are relevant to help you make this estimate. 
  2. Once you make this estimate — for example, let’s say that you estimate a 20% chance of a draw — then use this free dutching calculator to enter the odds for A and B in the Selection 1 and Selection 2 fields; remove any other values from any other Selection fields. Be sure to use 100 for the Total Staked value to make the next step easier.
  3. Compare the Profit value to your estimate, and if the Profit value is higher than your estimate, then you will want to bet both A and B for the match. 
  4. If you decide that you want to bet both A and B, change the Total Staked amout to the total amount that you want to bet on the match. Place wagers on A and B as given in the Staked column to the left of A and B, respectively.

Rather than apply this method to a single match, I would apply this method to a whole day’s or week’s worth of matches, and then dutch the game (or games) where the difference between the Profit value and my estimate of a tie was largest.

I encourage you to try this method for fun for a while and see how it works for you. Keep track of your wagers and winnings on paper before making any actual bets.

When you are ready to use the dutching method to bet on matches, I recommend the following sportsbooks:

  1. Intertops
  2. USD BET
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blackjack, online gambling, tips

Blackjack — When to Split Pairs

Here is an article signed Bill Ricardi, a self-proclaimed blackjack expert. I do not know if this is a real person or if he is a blackjack expert, but the advise in the article is spot-on.

*** Play online blackjack from the comfort of your home. ***

When to Split Pairs

One of the most common mistakes that I see beginners make in blackjack is when it comes to splitting their paired starting cards. Some, knowing very little about the rules, never split at all. Others, knowing a little too much for their own good, always split a pair and take their chances.

The correct play is somewhere in between. You need to know when to split in order to maximize your profits. More importantly, you need to know when NOT to split, avoiding greed in order to keep your profits. Today, we’ll cover these two subjects.

There are certain hard and fast rules when you consider splitting cards:

[July 2008 Update: Sorry, but this post got lost in The Great Blog Loss of July 2008.]

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land-based casinos, NETeller, online casinos, tips

Gambling Do’s and Don’ts

Here are some do’s and don’ts to keep in mind when you’re gambling. Do:

  • Set a stop/loss strategy for your gambling session, and stick to it. A stop/loss strategy is where you set limits on how much you are willing to lose AND how much you are willing to win. For example, if you start with a bankroll of 200, one stop/loss strategy would be to (a) stop if you lose 200, (b) pocket 200 when you reach 400, and then continue to play with the remaining 200 until you (b1) lose it or (b2) win 200 more, at which point you would stop.
  • Know the rules of the games that you’re playing.
  • Tip the dealers and drink staff even if you are losing. You’re tipping for their service, not for your run of good or bad luck.

Don’t:

  • Drink to excess when gambling. Alcohol suppresses inhibitions and increases the chance that you will wager more than you’d planned.
  • Bet more than you can afford to lose. If you are betting money that you need for food, shelter, and clothing, then you’ll find yourself in a tough spot very quickly. (If anyone reading this finds themselves in this situation, please seek help at GA.)
  • Give unsolicited advice to other gamblers. It’s rude. For example, when playing at a blackjack table, don’t tell others how to play their hand (unless they ask you, of course).

Online gambling has its own unique do’s and don’ts in addition to the ones listed above. Do:

Don’t:

  • Expect to be paid right away. When you withdraw, it usually takes several business days for the money to appear back in the account that you used to make the deposit.
  • Provide false information when registering at an online gambling site. Sites can use this fact to void your winnings!
  • Go anywhere other than The Online Casino Gambling Directory to find online gambling sites. The Online Casino Gambling Directory is listed as one of few Reputable Gaming Portals by eCOGRA, and is really the only site you need to find gambling sites and related information. (OK. That was a shameless plug — but it’s true!)
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